identification card of Rwandan Tutsi

genocide in rwanda



 

The 'Mogadishu effect'
and world peacekeeping

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""Only the United States has the global reach to place a large security force on the ground in such a distant place quickly and efficiently and, thus, save thousands of innocents from death." George Bush

And no, he’s not talking about Rwanda.


 

After dictator Mohamed Siad Barre is forced out of Mogadishu in January 1991, his Somali National Movement party finds itself locked in factional struggle against rival leaders of politically powerful clans. Civil war intensifies the devastating effects of famine in regions of Somalia, with an estimated death toll of 300,000 within the first year. The signing of a ceasefire in March 1992 establishes a UN mission authorized to oversee humanitarian relief efforts, beginning with 50 unarmed troops arriving to begin monitoring duties in August. This mission marks the first intervention of Western powers within an African state, and the first UN undertaking without the host country’s consent.

By the end of 1991, acknowledging its failure to establish a secure climate for the distribution of emergency supplies—supply trucks hijacked, food stolen from airlifts upon landing—the UN requests military support from its member nations. George Bush, in the final weeks of his presidential term, commits 25,000 US Marines to lead the international force. To the American people he promises a highly specific, focused term of engagement: "Operation Restore Hope" will disengage before the Clinton inauguration.

At a March conference, with American troops still on the ground, factional leaders including former intelligence chief Mohamed Farah Aidid reach agreement on a plan for ending civil war. The UN plans to assume control from the US-led task force with an expanded mission, empowered to facilitate "nation-building" through disarmament, policing, rebuilding of infrastructure and establishing the framework of representative government. On May 4, as 28 nations deploy troops to support this expanded mandate, the US hands over command and begins withdrawal of its forces.

 
Meanwhile, unbeknownst to the commanders spearheading the mission against Aidid, former President Jimmy Carter leads secret negotiations with him.

Priorities shift radically on June 5, when the ambush of a weapons inspection team leaves 24 Pakistani soldiers dead. The Security Council issues an emergency resolution demanding the capture of those responsible; though unnamed at the time, Aidid is identified two weeks later as the object of a $25,000 reward. Abandoning the rhetoric of nation-building, the UN goes to war against Aidid. Throughout June and July, assaults on locations associated with Aidid escalate, and civilian casualties increase. Somalis retaliate by killing troops and foreign journalists. UN forces lose sight of Aidid on July 29, but continuing attacks against American soldiers prompt the deployment of an elite task force of 440 US Rangers charged with Aidid’s capture.

90 minutes to storm a house in Mogadishu and capture Aidid, reportedly meeting with his lieutenants inside. That is the mission of a Task Force Range operation on October 3, combining air strikes and a convoy of ground troops. Within 30 minutes the forces have captured 20 prisoners, though not locating Aidid, and are returning to base when a helicopter is shot down. Gunmen in the surrounding street isolate the crew from rescue attempts, and the ground convoy is ordered back to base. Though a second helicopter is brought down, pilots continue to fly over the battle scene, dropping additional ammunition and strafing Somali fighters. Attacks on the base delay the launch of a rescue mission, which eventually collects the survivors and the bodies of the helicopter crews before fighting its way to a nearby stadium for airlift evacuation. 18 Americans are dead, 84 wounded. American audiences watch news footage of jubilant Somalis dragging mutilated soldiers’ corpses through the streets of Mogadishu. The efficient 90-minute mission has devolved into a 17-hour urban battle, the single most violent US combat engagement since Vietnam, and a public opinion catastrophe.

Aidid will boast in an interview weeks later that events unfolded exactly according to his plan.

President Clinton has had enough of Somalia. Within days, he announces that a substantial troop reinforcement will be sent to enable complete withdrawal of US forces by the end of March 1994.
The remaining 20,000 UN troops are finally withdrawn a year later.

rWhen a Security Council investigation of the mission is completed, Council members try to suppress the report, which concludes that the operation was poorly planned, relying on faulty intelligence-gathering systems that misrepresented the opposition. Never again, recommends the report, should the UN assume an enforcement role within internal conflicts—use of force must be a strategy of last resort after all peaceful and diplomatic courses of action had failed. "The international community will be very careful in future. We’ve learned... that [UN member] states don’t want to take casualties. You can’t do coercive disarmament," says a peacekeeping official.

 

At home, the political fallout of this disastrously naive engagement of US troops becomes known as ‘the Mogadishu effect’—popular outrage at the sacrifice of American personnel to global policing missions, engendering reluctance within the Clinton administration to frame international conflicts as human rights issues entailing a moral obligation for intervention.

"I think the actual effect [of American operations in Somalia] was to precipitate a basic review of the circumstances under which we would get engaged in this type of operation. The outcome of which was laid down on day one, which was to establish criteria which would narrow the possibility that we would get engaged. This resulted in a formal presidential determination or directive (PDD 25) in May of '94... a set of guidelines under which the US would be prepared to get her own forces engaged and/or to authorize the UN to get engaged. And this crystallized a growing body of resistance to these type of potentially dangerous humanitarian interventions, which was widespread in our own military and, for that matter, on Capitol Hill. By establishing a formalized doctrine, this presidential directive for the United States, they would set a rigid set of criteria, which, I believe, were tailored to make it very, very difficult to launch the United States military into this kind of adventure again." James Woods, Deputy Assistant Secretary for African Affairs at the Department of Defense, 1986-1994

The battle in Mogadishu erupts two days before the Security Council votes on whether to provide peacekeepers in Rwanda.

The specter of Somalia will not only haunt American foreign policy, but quite directly shape international debate on intervention on Rwanda. As the first post-Somalia crisis demanding UN attention, the genocide provides a test case for political will under the skittish new world order. On April 20, after two weeks of massacres had raged without consequence to the genocidal regime, the UN Secretary-General’s report to the Council would urge members to "think back to Somalia and think about what you would ask these troops to do."

Or, as Richard Dowden of the Independent puts it,
"Problem: Somalia. Response: intervention. Result: failure.
Conclusion: no more intervention."

 

> more about PDD 25>

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